Modern Census Fun and Gentrification

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The Washington Post has an article today written by Du Lac and Schwartzman that I don't hate. I was worried when I saw the byline, as previous articles by Paul Schwartzman years back would go on the tired narrative of 'new whites bad, old blacks good'. But what is best about "On Barry's old block, a changing landscape" is the census map. Online there is a map you can play with at http://wapo.st/censusmap and I've been playing with it for hours, mainly because it seems Firefox has issues with it.
Looking at my own block, which I believe is census tract 46, there have been some changes, and the most dramatic going by race happened between the 2000 and 2010 census. or the heyday of this blog. African Americans still make up the majority of Truxton and the other parts of Shaw east of 7th St. in 2010, but not as much as when it was 1990 and 2000. In the TC (Truxton Circle part of Shaw) the neighborhood was over 90% black. Now it is about over 60%, the latino, white and asian population over here exploded. But really the most interesting thing I found happened with numbers between 1990 and 2000. In census tract 46(?) group 1 went from 1270 people in 1990 down to 1144 in 2000; group 2 2353 to 1853. So between 1990 and 2000 a whole bunch of people left prior to the wave of gentrification between 2000 and 2010. So black folks were trending out of the neighborhood, making me wonder if there was no influx of non-blacks into the neighborhood would Shaw have continued to lose people, like some parts of Ward 8.
And speaking of Wards, I'm sure you've played with Greater Greater Washington's Redistricting Game. Because of the demographic changes in the District documented by the 2010 Census the political boundaries are going to change. Ward 8 needs more people and Ward 2 has too many. Question is will parts of Shaw join Ward 5? What will this mean for parking and policing (note how the police districts closely align with ward boundaries)? Will Jack Evans dump the chronically poor (Shaw) and keep the temporarily poor (college students in G'town and Foggy Bottom)?
Yesterday I was remarking to a friend that yes, I don't post as much as I used to because a) being newly married is distracting and b) most of the dramatic stories of gentrification, as you can tell with the census numbers, has already occurred. That great turnover in the early and mid aughts pretty much done. The great gentrification stories are now in Bloomingdale/Eckington. Not that there isn't any change going on in Shaw, it is still going on, but slowly, like O Street Market slow. Yeah, yeah, any day now.....

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